Our tactical signals swung positive following the December wash out; however, Adam Murl, Head of Research, explains why we remain concerned with the outlook. There are some positive signs, such as the resetting of earnings expectations and increasing Chinese stimulus, but significant technical damage has been done and leading economic indicators remain in a downtrend. Clarity on trade as well as an inflection in economic growth will be required before risk assets can sustainably advance.
Read MoreEquium Capital, on behalf of Equium Capital Real Estate (ECRE), is pleased to announce the closing of the ECRE Hinton Limited Partnership. The Partnership is a newly established limited partnership that has entered into a joint venture agreement with Smart Living Developments Inc. in connection with the development of a purpose-built rental apartment building in the City of Ottawa.
Read MoreWhile many investors position for the traditional Santa Claus rally, Adam Murl, Head of Research, describes why our Global Tactical Allocation Fund remains defensively positioned. With global economic data and corporate earnings still pointing to growth, recession odds remain low. However, our oft-discussed concern with the retrenchment of global liquidity remains a serious risk, preventing us from becoming more constructive heading into 2019, barring a major policy shift from the Fed.
Read MoreThe rental renaissance is under way, according to Keith Reading, Director of Research at Morguard, who spoke about opportunities in Purpose-Built Rental on BNN Bloomberg. High land costs and rising interest rates present growing challenges for first time home buyers, who are instead turning to modern rentals. This confluence of soaring demand paired with a shortfall in supply is exactly why Equium Capital created a private equity fund investing in Purpose-Built Rental. Bringing the firm’s hallmark risk management and conservatism to a traditionally high-return asset class, Equium Capital’s private equity platform provides institutional real estate investments to clients and investment advisors across Canada.
Read MoreNoting the potential for a short-term but strong Santa Claus rally, Cameron Hurst, Chief Investment Officer, enumerates the factors that appear likely to keep a lid on markets over the medium term, particularly in Canada. Relief on trade conflicts or a moderation in Federal Reserve tightening could inspire a year-end rally, but fundamentals argue for a resumption of equity and credit pain in early 2019.
Read MoreEvery bull comes to an end. Market tops don’t happen overnight or even in one month, but they all inevitably yield to a bear that feeds on the excesses of the prior cycle. With negative conditional factors piling up, debt issuance at historical peaks and increasing parallels to 1999/2000, Cameron Hurst, Chief Investment Officer, joins BNN Bloomberg to offer a reality check on where the markets stand and what’s likely to come next.
Read MoreTaking a break from the headlines, Adam Murl, Head of Research, addresses key questions coming in from investors. We discuss the underperformance of Gold and why we don’t hold out much hope for a rebound in the near-term. U.S. equities significantly outperformed global markets this year, but we only see Japan as likely to converge as a result of local economic momentum, improving corporate earnings and cheap valuations.
Read MoreWith interest rates rising, investors should take profits in REITs and ready their portfolios for late-stage trends. To balance typical end-of-cycle stock volatility, investors should look at look at investing in real estate through private equity funds. Cameron Hurst, Chief Investment Officer, explains on BNN Bloomberg how interest rates suggest it’s time to make the switch.
Read MoreCoordinated central bank easing in the aftermath of the financial crisis made markets more globally interconnected than ever before, much more than investors realize. Cameron Hurst, Chief Investment Officer, explains on BNN Bloomberg how U.S. credit spreads, emerging markets equities and Canadian financial conditions are all linked by the receding tide of global liquidity.
Read MoreAfter a long and hot summer, investors return from holidays to near peak U.S. and Canadian equity markets and subdued volatility. Adam Murl, Head of Research, discusses why we think this goldilocks period will be quickly challenged in September by the three bears of trade wars, Italy and Emerging Markets. Although we maintain exposure to risk assets, our sector allocations are shifting defensively and we note the three bears should be strong determinants on the direction of markets from here.
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